Ostiches vs Habay-la-Neuve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
15º
18º
16º
36
3º
18º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 76 |
1º
|
85% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 66 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 64 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 58 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 52 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 43 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 41 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 36 |
15º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 31 |
16º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 30 |
17º
|
32% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 24 |
18º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 40% |
|
Mid-table
|
36% | 60% |
|
Relegation
|
64% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostiches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
JET
2 - 1
OST
35%
26%
40%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
OST
0 - 1
ONH
25%
25%
50%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 1
OST
29%
23%
48%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AYW
3 - 2
OST
31%
25%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
OST
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Habay-la-Neuve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HBN
0 - 1
AYW
33%
26%
41%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SER
4 - 1
HBN
48%
24%
29%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HBN
0 - 2
OLY
15%
20%
65%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -2 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
UTO
1 - 5
HBN
17%
19%
64%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HBN
0 - 1
ENT
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |