Ostiches vs Habay-la-Neuve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
15º
18º
16º
9
6º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
11 | 71 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 63 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 59 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
1º
|
11 | 59 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 58 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 58 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 55 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 55 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 51 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 47 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 44 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 43 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
9 | 42 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 40 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 37 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
3 | 36 |
16º
|
28% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 21 |
17º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 18 |
18º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1.5% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
59.5% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
39% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostiches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
JET
2 - 1
OST
35%
26%
40%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
OST
0 - 1
ONH
25%
25%
50%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 1
OST
29%
23%
48%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
AYW
3 - 2
OST
31%
25%
45%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
OST
29%
25%
46%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Habay-la-Neuve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HBN
0 - 1
AYW
33%
26%
41%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SER
4 - 1
HBN
48%
24%
29%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HBN
0 - 2
OLY
15%
20%
65%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
UTO
1 - 5
HBN
17%
19%
64%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HBN
0 - 1
ENT
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |