Ostia Mare vs Grosseto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
68.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FLA
0 - 0
OST
47%
25%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
OST
0 - 0
NUO
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 1
OST
32%
24%
45%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
OST
0 - 1
SAS
25%
27%
48%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
BUD
2 - 2
OST
50%
25%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
GRO
4 - 2
ARZ
78%
14%
8%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 0
GRO
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GRO
2 - 1
MUR
85%
11%
4%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CYN
1 - 3
GRO
8%
19%
73%
|
51 | 23 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
GRO
0 - 1
RIE
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |