Ostia Mare vs Trastevere analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
59.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
TRA
0 - 0
OST
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SAS
2 - 2
OST
61%
22%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
OST
0 - 1
ARZ
18%
22%
59%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 1
OST
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
OST
2 - 2
LAT
22%
23%
55%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Trastevere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
TRA
0 - 0
OST
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TRA
2 - 1
APR
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
BUD
1 - 3
TRA
26%
23%
51%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
TRA
1 - 2
VIS
69%
17%
14%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
LAD
2 - 3
TRA
18%
19%
63%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |