Ostia Mare vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
LAN
0 - 2
OST
27%
23%
51%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
OST
1 - 0
ARZ
32%
28%
41%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
OST
1 - 3
RIE
29%
26%
45%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 3
OST
19%
24%
57%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
OST
0 - 0
LAQ
24%
26%
51%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SSD
0 - 3
MON
8%
14%
78%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LAQ
0 - 0
SSD
78%
17%
6%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SSD
1 - 1
ULD
30%
23%
47%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 0
SSD
70%
19%
11%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SSD
1 - 3
SAN
58%
21%
22%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |