Ostia Mare vs Castiadas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SAS
3 - 2
OST
48%
26%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
OST
4 - 0
BUD
52%
23%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
OST
42%
26%
33%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ALB
0 - 1
OST
64%
21%
16%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
OST
3 - 0
AST
69%
18%
12%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Castiadas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 3
BUD
12%
18%
69%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VIT
2 - 1
CAS
88%
8%
4%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 2
ALB
9%
15%
76%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CYN
1 - 0
CAS
74%
17%
9%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 2
ARZ
15%
20%
66%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |