Ostia Mare vs Muravera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
OST
13%
19%
68%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
OST
4 - 1
NUO
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 1
OST
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
OST
1 - 1
ALB
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 3
OST
33%
26%
41%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Muravera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 0
LAN
22%
22%
56%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
RIE
0 - 0
MUR
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 2
MON
9%
18%
73%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
LAQ
1 - 1
MUR
77%
17%
7%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 0
ULD
31%
24%
46%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |