Ostia Mare vs Muravera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
CYN
1 - 0
OST
30%
27%
43%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
OST
0 - 0
OLB
30%
26%
44%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
LAN
0 - 0
OST
28%
24%
49%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
OST
1 - 0
RIE
27%
24%
49%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
TRA
1 - 2
OST
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Muravera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 2
BUD
42%
24%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 1
MUR
76%
15%
10%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 1
ARZ
25%
22%
53%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 0
MUR
82%
13%
5%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
CYN
0 - 2
MUR
49%
23%
28%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |