Ostia Mare vs Latte Dolce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
GLA
2 - 1
OST
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
OST
2 - 0
APR
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 2
OST
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
OST
1 - 1
VIS
46%
25%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
TNF
2 - 1
OST
44%
27%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Latte Dolce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
ULD
2 - 1
SSC
18%
22%
61%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CYN
3 - 0
ULD
76%
15%
9%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ULD
3 - 1
FOR
39%
24%
38%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
LAN
1 - 0
ULD
48%
25%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ULD
1 - 3
RMS
42%
24%
35%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |