Ostia Mare vs Latte Dolce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
SDT
0 - 0
OST
29%
22%
49%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
FLA
2 - 1
OST
21%
23%
55%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
OST
1 - 1
LAT
18%
26%
57%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
UST
2 - 3
OST
12%
17%
71%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
OST
2 - 0
LRO
43%
27%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Latte Dolce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
ULD
2 - 1
SSC
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BUD
2 - 1
ULD
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ULD
0 - 0
RIE
10%
19%
71%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
MON
2 - 0
ULD
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
ULD
1 - 0
NUO
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |