Ostia Mare vs Latte Dolce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
OST
0 - 2
SAS
32%
27%
41%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
OST
2 - 2
MUR
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CYN
1 - 0
OST
30%
27%
43%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
OST
0 - 0
OLB
30%
26%
44%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
LAN
0 - 0
OST
28%
24%
49%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Latte Dolce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ARZ
1 - 2
ULD
51%
23%
26%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ULD
2 - 2
SAN
66%
19%
16%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SMM
1 - 2
ULD
34%
24%
43%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ULD
0 - 2
SAN
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
TCA
2 - 2
ULD
70%
18%
13%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |