Ostia Mare vs Latina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
63.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
RIE
3 - 1
OST
57%
23%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
OST
0 - 1
MUR
79%
13%
7%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
OST
13%
19%
68%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | -3 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
OST
4 - 1
NUO
45%
27%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 1
OST
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Latina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
ANZ
1 - 2
LAT
12%
21%
67%
|
61 | 27 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
AVE
2 - 1
LAT
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
LAT
2 - 2
PRG
28%
30%
43%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
BRE
1 - 1
LAT
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
LAT
0 - 0
ASC
40%
29%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |