Ostia Mare vs Lanusei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ARZ
0 - 3
OST
53%
25%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
RIE
5 - 1
OST
54%
24%
22%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
OST
1 - 1
FOL
48%
25%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LAQ
1 - 1
OST
61%
25%
14%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
OST
3 - 2
MON
23%
24%
53%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Lanusei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LAN
3 - 1
FOL
24%
22%
54%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LAQ
3 - 1
LAN
73%
20%
8%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LAN
2 - 1
RIE
13%
18%
68%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
LAN
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 2
SPO
39%
24%
37%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |