Ostia Mare vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LAQ
1 - 1
OST
61%
25%
14%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
OST
3 - 2
MON
23%
24%
53%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 3
OST
37%
27%
37%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
OST
1 - 0
ULD
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
OST
0 - 2
SAS
32%
27%
41%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 1
SPO
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 1
RIE
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 0
FOL
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 2
LAQ
20%
25%
55%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FLA
3 - 1
FOL
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |