Ostia Mare vs Avezzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 3
OST
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
OST
1 - 1
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
FLA
3 - 0
OST
42%
26%
33%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
OST
7 - 0
SAS
48%
25%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SSD
0 - 0
OST
29%
26%
46%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Avezzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
AVE
2 - 0
LAN
71%
17%
12%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LAQ
1 - 1
AVE
64%
23%
13%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
AVE
3 - 1
RIE
28%
22%
50%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +3 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 0
AVE
40%
24%
37%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 2
MON
22%
23%
56%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |