Ostia Mare vs Arzachena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
59.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 1
OST
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
OST
2 - 2
LAT
22%
23%
55%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
OST
2 - 0
MUR
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
OST
2 - 1
POM
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
OST
1 - 1
ANA
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
BUD
1 - 0
ARZ
18%
23%
60%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
SAS
2 - 0
ARZ
15%
22%
63%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
GOZ
1 - 3
ARZ
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
ARZ
0 - 0
PIS
48%
25%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
PIA
0 - 3
ARZ
12%
21%
67%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | +1 |