Ostia Mare vs Anzio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
OST
3 - 0
BUD
69%
20%
11%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 1
OST
66%
19%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SPO
2 - 2
OST
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
OST
2 - 1
GAV
21%
26%
54%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
PIA
0 - 3
OST
66%
21%
13%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Anzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BOR
1 - 1
ANZ
9%
12%
79%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ALB
7 - 1
ANZ
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ANZ
0 - 5
LAD
25%
22%
54%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
LAT
3 - 2
ANZ
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ANZ
1 - 0
SAS
24%
24%
52%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |