Ostermundigen vs Stade Payerne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
36.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostermundigen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
BUL
3 - 1
OST
86%
10%
4%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
OST
4 - 2
BUM
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GRU
2 - 0
OST
57%
21%
22%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
OST
2 - 4
FAR
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
OST
1 - 4
POR
46%
22%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Stade Payerne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
STA
1 - 2
TPA
39%
23%
39%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
LYS
1 - 0
STA
66%
17%
17%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
THI
1 - 1
STA
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LAC
2 - 2
STA
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
STA
0 - 2
COL
39%
24%
37%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |