Ostermundigen vs Aarau II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
69.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostermundigen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
BER
4 - 1
OST
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
OST
0 - 1
BUM
32%
22%
46%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALL
3 - 4
OST
53%
21%
26%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LAN
3 - 1
OST
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
OST
2 - 1
MOU
25%
22%
54%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
AAR
4 - 2
MOU
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
FCC
1 - 2
AAR
9%
16%
75%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
AAR
0 - 1
WOH
83%
11%
6%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
TAV
1 - 1
AAR
12%
16%
72%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
AAR
5 - 0
POR
81%
12%
7%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |