Österlen vs Karlskrona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
49%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
8º
3º
42
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 59 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 57 |
2º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
65% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 38 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 35 |
6º
|
42.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 30 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 27 |
12º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 21 |
14º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Österlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
HAS
3 - 1
OST
78%
15%
7%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
TRE
7 - 1
OST
32%
21%
47%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
OST
2 - 1
HOG
80%
12%
8%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BER
4 - 1
OST
32%
24%
45%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
OST
2 - 1
KRI
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Karlskrona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
KAR
3 - 1
HOG
82%
11%
7%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
KAR
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 4
KRI
65%
19%
17%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
IFK
2 - 1
KAR
25%
21%
54%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 0
IFK
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +2 |