Ostbahn XI vs Würmla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostbahn XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
FCW
2 - 2
OST
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
OST
2 - 2
SVH
43%
25%
32%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
OST
0 - 1
SCH
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
SCH
0 - 2
OST
41%
25%
35%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
OST
2 - 0
NEU
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
WUR
2 - 1
WIE
22%
23%
55%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SVH
3 - 0
WUR
78%
15%
8%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
WUR
0 - 3
GAF
50%
23%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
GAF
2 - 1
WUR
46%
24%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
FCW
4 - 1
WUR
79%
14%
7%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | 0 |