Ostbahn XI vs Horn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostbahn XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
OST
0 - 1
SCH
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
SCH
0 - 2
OST
41%
25%
35%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
OST
2 - 0
NEU
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
MAT
5 - 0
OST
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
OST
3 - 0
FAC
33%
24%
43%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SVH
3 - 0
WUR
78%
15%
8%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
SVH
2 - 3
FCW
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
FCW
1 - 0
SVH
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
SVH
0 - 0
SCH
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
NEU
4 - 1
SVH
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |