Ostbahn XI vs NAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
45.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ostbahn XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
WIE
0 - 2
OST
37%
23%
39%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
OST
0 - 2
FAV
55%
22%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
TEA
0 - 2
OST
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
OST
1 - 1
DON
55%
22%
22%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
GER
3 - 3
OST
51%
22%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
NAC
6 - 0
LAC
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
ADM
0 - 1
NAC
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 2
FOR
75%
16%
10%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
STA
0 - 1
NAC
46%
24%
31%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
6 - 2
POS
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |