Lechia Gdansk vs Śląsk Wrocław analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
9º
18º
17º
10
11º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 60 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 60 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 56 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 55 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 53 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 53 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 50 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 47 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 47 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 44 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 38 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
|
17º
|
15 | 37 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 29 |
18º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
56.5% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation
|
43.5% | 89.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lechia Gdansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
GKS
2 - 0
GDA
41%
26%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
GDA
0 - 3
POG
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
KOR
0 - 0
GDA
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
GDA
1 - 2
CRA
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
PGL
3 - 3
GDA
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Śląsk Wrocław
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
SLA
1 - 1
PGL
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 1
PUS
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 2
SLA
51%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 1
GÓR
40%
26%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
ZAL
3 - 0
SLA
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |