Osnabrück II vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
64.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osnabrück II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
ENO
2 - 0
OSN
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2007 |
OSN
4 - 1
HAM
69%
18%
14%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
BER
2 - 1
OSN
52%
23%
25%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
OSN
1 - 5
VFR
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
OSN
1 - 4
ENO
40%
23%
36%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
HOL
3 - 1
ALT
80%
14%
7%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
HOL
0 - 5
HSV
14%
22%
64%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
ERF
0 - 1
HOL
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
HOL
2 - 0
F95
45%
26%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
OSN
3 - 2
HOL
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |