Oskarshamns AIK vs Norrby analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
55.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
15º
8º
31
1º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 68 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 60 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 49 |
3º
|
63.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 46 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 44 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 38 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 38 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 37 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 34 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 31 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 22 |
16º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
74.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
12.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oskarshamns AIK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LJU
1 - 1
OSK
46%
24%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
OSK
1 - 1
TVA
36%
26%
39%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 4
OSK
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
OSK
0 - 2
ROS
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
NOR
6 - 0
OSK
70%
19%
12%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Norrby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
NOR
1 - 0
TIK
74%
17%
10%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
LJU
0 - 4
NOR
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
NOR
4 - 2
ORE
57%
21%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 0
JON
47%
22%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 0
LJU
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |