Oskarshamns AIK vs Jönköpings Södra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
46.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
15º
12º
33
4º
15º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 65 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 60 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 47 |
3º
|
47% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 46 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 44 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 42 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 40 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 38 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 37 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 36 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 35 |
13º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 34 |
14º
|
24.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 31 |
15º
|
48.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 21 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
74% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
15.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oskarshamns AIK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
OSK
2 - 3
ESK
36%
26%
39%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FAL
1 - 0
OSK
81%
13%
5%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
OSK
1 - 1
ANG
42%
24%
35%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 1
OSK
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
OSK
2 - 2
LBK
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Jönköpings Södra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
LBK
2 - 0
JON
47%
25%
29%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2024 |
JON
1 - 2
ANG
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
TFC
1 - 4
JON
7%
12%
81%
|
55 | 15 | 40 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
LJU
2 - 2
JON
23%
24%
53%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
JON
1 - 2
TVA
52%
25%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |