Osipovichy vs Bumprom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
66.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
13º
16º
17º
38
2º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
73 | 73 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
|
17º
|
5 | 5 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osipovichy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ORS
3 - 0
OSI
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
OSI
0 - 1
SHA
9%
16%
75%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MOL
3 - 0
OSI
86%
10%
4%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
OSI
1 - 3
OFC
8%
16%
76%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MKK
2 - 1
OSI
84%
11%
5%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Bumprom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FBG
2 - 1
SHA
34%
22%
44%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MOL
4 - 0
FBG
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FBG
0 - 7
OFC
24%
21%
54%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MKK
2 - 0
FBG
73%
16%
11%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FBG
3 - 3
FCS
75%
15%
10%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |