NK Osijek vs NK Slaven Belupo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
4º
9º
4º
4
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 69 |
1º
|
42% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 66 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 65 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
7 | 56 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 48 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 46 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 42 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 36 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 31 |
10º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
29% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 45% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 54.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Osijek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HKS
1 - 0
OSI
46%
25%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
OSI
0 - 2
RIJ
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HNG
2 - 2
OSI
23%
25%
53%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
ZIR
2 - 2
OSI
22%
25%
54%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
OSI
1 - 2
DZG
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NK Slaven Belupo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
KUS
0 - 1
SLA
20%
22%
59%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 1
IST
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NKV
2 - 0
SLA
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SLA
2 - 2
LOK
20%
25%
54%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
HNS
2 - 0
SLA
49%
25%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |