Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda Final
Global 4-1
NK Osijek vs FC Santa Coloma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Osijek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
SCO
0 - 1
OSI
45%
24%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
OSI
5 - 0
ZAD
60%
24%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
DZG
3 - 1
OSI
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
HNS
1 - 1
OSI
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
OSI
0 - 0
DZG
16%
21%
64%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
FC Santa Coloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
SCO
0 - 1
OSI
45%
24%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
LUS
0 - 1
SCO
28%
22%
51%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SCO
2 - 0
SJU
38%
23%
40%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SJU
0 - 3
SCO
56%
20%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
UES
0 - 0
SCO
40%
24%
37%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |