NK Osijek vs HNK Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
7º
4º
74
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Osijek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
DZG
1 - 0
OSI
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
OSI
3 - 1
LOK
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HNG
0 - 3
OSI
28%
25%
47%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
OSI
1 - 2
IST
58%
25%
17%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
HKS
1 - 2
OSI
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
DZG
0 - 0
RIJ
49%
23%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NKV
3 - 1
RIJ
25%
26%
49%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 2
DZG
50%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LOK
3 - 1
RIJ
36%
25%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RIJ
3 - 0
HNG
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |