NK Osijek vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
4º
9º
4º
13
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 69 |
1º
|
42% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 66 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
13 | 65 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
7 | 56 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 48 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 46 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 42 |
7º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 36 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 31 |
10º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
5% | 20.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
29% | 57% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Osijek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
OSI
1 - 1
ZIR
67%
21%
12%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
OSI
1 - 2
HNS
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
0 - 1
OSI
27%
25%
49%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
OSI
5 - 1
LEV
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
DAC
3 - 2
OSI
31%
25%
44%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
DZG
5 - 0
IST
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DZG
2 - 2
SHA
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
DZG
1 - 0
SHA
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
DZG
3 - 0
VAR
85%
11%
4%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
DZG
0 - 2
HKR
65%
20%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |