Oshmyany vs Smorgon II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
41.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
+961%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
9º
12º
13º
20
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 24 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 21 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 7 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 4 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oshmyany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FKL
3 - 0
OSH
51%
19%
29%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
OSH
2 - 3
DYA
22%
18%
60%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 2
OSH
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
OSH
0 - 0
FSK
93%
5%
2%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
FNO
1 - 0
OSH
36%
20%
44%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Smorgon II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SMO
3 - 1
FSK
84%
10%
6%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FNO
0 - 2
SMO
32%
21%
47%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SMO
3 - 0
FKL
37%
22%
41%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
DYA
6 - 3
SMO
71%
16%
13%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
FCS
9 - 1
SMO
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |