Oshmyany vs Smolevichy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
43.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oshmyany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ZOR
3 - 1
OSH
59%
22%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
OSH
0 - 1
FCS
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LID
1 - 0
OSH
66%
18%
16%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
OSH
4 - 0
FKU
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +3 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
TAR
2 - 2
OSH
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Smolevichy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SMO
0 - 1
GOM
50%
25%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FCS
1 - 0
SMO
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
SMO
2 - 1
TAR
63%
22%
16%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SMO
1 - 1
ZOR
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
BYA
1 - 1
SMO
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |