Aldier vs Ilbirs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
70.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ALD
1 - 1
TAL
6%
14%
80%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
ALD
0 - 0
MUR
37%
22%
41%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
KBA
1 - 2
ALD
66%
17%
17%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
FKA
3 - 0
ALD
90%
8%
2%
|
6 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 0
ALD
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 31 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Ilbirs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
MUR
3 - 0
FTS
11%
18%
71%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
FTS
0 - 1
TAL
35%
23%
42%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
DBI
6 - 0
FTS
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 0
FTS
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
NEF
1 - 0
FTS
58%
23%
19%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |