Aldier vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
67.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aldier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ALD
0 - 3
MUR
18%
19%
63%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
DBI
4 - 0
ALD
88%
8%
4%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
MUR
0 - 2
ALD
82%
12%
7%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
ALD
0 - 3
DBI
8%
14%
78%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ALD
0 - 0
FKA
9%
15%
76%
|
10 | 29 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KBA
0 - 0
NEF
9%
17%
75%
|
28 | 8 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
ALG
0 - 1
NEF
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
NEF
2 - 3
KBA
84%
13%
4%
|
28 | 6 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NEF
0 - 0
FKA
33%
25%
43%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FTS
1 - 1
NEF
17%
22%
61%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |