OSC Bremerhaven vs Werder Bremen III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
3.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
3º
10º
4º
15
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
58% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
67.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 38 |
9º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
84% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
34.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
OSC Bremerhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
OSC
1 - 4
BTN
70%
17%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
GEE
0 - 1
OSC
40%
21%
39%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
OSC
1 - 1
OBE
28%
20%
52%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SGA
2 - 3
OSC
51%
20%
29%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
OSC
35%
21%
45%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
WOL
7 - 2
WER
87%
9%
4%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
WER
1 - 2
GEE
8%
12%
80%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
OBE
3 - 2
WER
91%
6%
2%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BTN
2 - 1
WER
79%
13%
7%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
WER
1 - 4
UNI
11%
16%
74%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | -1 |