Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 4-7
Osasuna vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
18.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
ATH
1 - 1
OSA
86%
9%
5%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
OSA
1 - 0
DEP
60%
19%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
RJA
2 - 0
OSA
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
OSA
2 - 1
ATM
40%
23%
38%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
VAD
3 - 0
OSA
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1957 |
DEP
3 - 0
VAD
54%
22%
25%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1957 |
VAD
1 - 2
RJA
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1957 |
ATM
1 - 3
VAD
80%
12%
9%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
UDL
3 - 2
VAD
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
VAD
3 - 0
OSA
68%
18%
14%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |