Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-2
Osasuna vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
59.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
OSA
2 - 0
LEV
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
VIL
1 - 0
OSA
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1999 |
SEV
1 - 1
OSA
69%
19%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
OSA
0 - 1
ELC
54%
27%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
EIB
4 - 1
OSA
47%
29%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
ATM
1 - 2
VCF
47%
25%
29%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1999 |
MUD
3 - 0
VCF
59%
23%
18%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
VCF
2 - 0
SEV
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
OVI
0 - 0
VCF
23%
26%
51%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1999 |
VCF
3 - 0
GIR
56%
23%
21%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |