Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 5-1
Osasuna vs Tenerife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
TUD
2 - 3
OSA
36%
29%
35%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
OSA
4 - 0
COL
88%
10%
2%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
TAL
1 - 1
OSA
28%
33%
39%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
OSA
4 - 0
CFP
83%
13%
4%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
OSA
1 - 2
RMC
83%
13%
5%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Tenerife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1976 |
LEV
4 - 1
CDT
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
CDT
3 - 0
OVI
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 1976 |
DEP
0 - 0
CDT
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
CDT
1 - 1
CCF
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
TER
3 - 0
CDT
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -2 |