Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-4
Osasuna vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
OSA
1 - 1
VAD
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
VCF
1 - 1
OSA
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1983 |
OSA
0 - 1
RSO
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1983 |
OSA
1 - 1
UDL
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1983 |
ATH
4 - 0
OSA
82%
12%
6%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
BET
1 - 0
SPO
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
SPO
1 - 0
SLA
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
RAC
2 - 1
SPO
38%
29%
33%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1983 |
SPO
1 - 1
HER
80%
13%
7%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1983 |
RSO
0 - 0
SPO
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |