Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Osasuna vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
OSA
3 - 1
RAC
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2003 |
SEV
1 - 1
OSA
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
ALA
1 - 1
OSA
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2003 |
OSA
1 - 1
RUN
77%
16%
7%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
OSA
1 - 1
VAD
39%
27%
33%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
VCF
1 - 0
SEV
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2003 |
SEV
1 - 1
OSA
61%
23%
16%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
SEV
0 - 0
MAL
47%
26%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2003 |
SEV
2 - 1
NUM
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
REC
0 - 0
SEV
33%
28%
40%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |