Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-1
Osasuna vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
OSA
3 - 1
BET
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1989 |
OSA
3 - 1
OVI
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
RSO
2 - 1
OSA
69%
20%
11%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1989 |
OSA
0 - 0
SPO
49%
28%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
VCF
3 - 2
OSA
52%
27%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
SEV
0 - 1
LOG
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1989 |
FCB
4 - 0
SEV
77%
16%
7%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1989 |
CEL
1 - 0
SEV
54%
25%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1989 |
SEV
3 - 0
MUR
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
SEV
2 - 4
VAD
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |