Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-1
Osasuna vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
OSA
1 - 0
ELC
32%
32%
37%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
HER
2 - 0
OSA
71%
20%
10%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
OSA
1 - 1
SEV
30%
31%
38%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
CDT
2 - 0
OSA
67%
22%
12%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
OSA
0 - 0
VAD
42%
29%
29%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1972 |
CDB
1 - 2
REC
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1972 |
REC
0 - 0
CFC
32%
30%
39%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1972 |
MEL
0 - 0
REC
62%
23%
15%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1972 |
REC
2 - 0
POR
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +3 |
| 12 Nov. 1972 |
REC
2 - 0
RAC
56%
25%
19%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |