Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-5
Osasuna vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
22.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
SAB
2 - 0
OSA
48%
23%
29%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
OSA
2 - 0
FER
79%
12%
9%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
ZAR
2 - 1
OSA
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
OSA
6 - 2
ALA
62%
19%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
GIR
0 - 2
OSA
49%
23%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
SAB
3 - 3
ZAR
47%
23%
31%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
ZAR
3 - 1
SLA
77%
13%
10%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
BET
1 - 0
ZAR
63%
19%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
ZAR
2 - 1
SPO
63%
18%
20%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
MUR
0 - 1
ZAR
53%
21%
26%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |