Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 7-2
Osasuna vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
21.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1935 |
ZAR
1 - 3
OSA
67%
17%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1935 |
OSA
5 - 2
BAD
84%
10%
6%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1935 |
BAD
4 - 3
OSA
30%
22%
48%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1935 |
OSA
3 - 0
MUR
63%
18%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1935 |
CEL
3 - 1
OSA
63%
17%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1935 |
ZAR
1 - 3
OSA
67%
17%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1935 |
OVI
1 - 0
ZAR
74%
14%
12%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1935 |
ZAR
2 - 0
OVI
47%
21%
32%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
ZAR
2 - 0
RUN
69%
16%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1935 |
JUP
0 - 3
ZAR
21%
22%
57%
|
74 | 40 | 34 | +1 |