Osasuna vs Real Unión Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.8%
4.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
RUN
3 - 1
OSA
22%
20%
58%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
OSA
6 - 1
SSC
84%
10%
6%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
ARE
0 - 0
OSA
67%
16%
17%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
OSA
4 - 3
LOG
80%
12%
9%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
RUN
1 - 1
OSA
20%
20%
60%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
RUN
3 - 1
OSA
22%
20%
58%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
SDI
2 - 0
RUN
88%
7%
5%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
RUN
3 - 2
ZAR
21%
22%
57%
|
27 | 63 | 36 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
CDU
2 - 1
RUN
70%
15%
15%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
RUN
1 - 1
OSA
20%
20%
60%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |