Osasuna vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
RUN
0 - 2
OSA
20%
31%
50%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
MLL
1 - 1
OSA
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
OSA
3 - 2
DEP
23%
25%
51%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
FCB
1 - 1
OSA
82%
13%
6%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
OSA
1 - 0
ATM
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
LOR
1 - 2
MUR
20%
27%
53%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
MUR
1 - 0
ALB
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
SEV
1 - 0
MUR
67%
21%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
MUR
2 - 2
ATH
26%
25%
49%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
ZAR
3 - 0
MUR
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |