Osasuna vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
ELC
3 - 0
OSA
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1979 |
OSA
2 - 1
ALM
69%
17%
15%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
OSA
4 - 0
DEP
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
ALA
1 - 0
OSA
63%
24%
14%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1979 |
OSA
2 - 1
RJA
76%
14%
10%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
MUR
1 - 1
RJA
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
MAL
1 - 0
MUR
59%
25%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
MUR
1 - 0
GDE
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1979 |
MUR
4 - 0
RMC
57%
20%
23%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
MUR
3 - 2
ALG
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |