Osasuna vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1978 |
RJA
0 - 0
OSA
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
OSA
2 - 0
PUE
77%
16%
8%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
OSA
3 - 0
CAS
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
GDE
1 - 0
OSA
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
OSA
2 - 1
SAB
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1978 |
MUR
2 - 1
CAS
68%
20%
13%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
GDE
4 - 0
MUR
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
MUR
2 - 1
SAB
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
OVI
0 - 1
MUR
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
MUR
2 - 1
DEP
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |