Osasuna vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1943 |
ZAR
4 - 0
OSA
71%
16%
14%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
OSA
1 - 1
CON
60%
20%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1943 |
OSA
2 - 2
ARE
78%
13%
9%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1943 |
BET
5 - 0
OSA
59%
20%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
OSA
1 - 0
JFC
62%
20%
19%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1943 |
MUR
4 - 4
BET
52%
21%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
JFC
3 - 1
MUR
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1943 |
MUR
1 - 0
VAD
50%
21%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1943 |
HER
2 - 0
MUR
57%
20%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
MUR
7 - 1
BAR
68%
18%
15%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |